Study of the Monthly Supply of Houses versus the 10-Year US Treasury

After reviewing 2010-2019 St. Louis Federal Reserve data on the monthly supply of houses (in months) compared to 10-year constant maturing treasury (CMT) rate, we see a relationship between the increase in supply as rates increase. The data is graphed on a scatter plot below showing a positive correlation between the variables. Further investigation was performed to see if his relationship is maintained across ten-year vintages from 1963 to the present. We see a similar relationship in the data except for the 2000-2009 vintage. Correlation Coefficients for the decades pictured below with 2010-2019 most closely matching the 1990-1999 coefficient as seen on the graph. Date Range 1963 - 1969

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